Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.065931 0.070819 0.075911 0.081618 0.087843 0.094435 0.101954
2025-12-07 0.055283 0.062229 0.069879 0.078959 0.089479 0.101327 0.115742
2025-12-14 0.047215 0.055114 0.064200 0.075487 0.089216 0.105483 0.126377
2025-12-21 0.042230 0.050794 0.061007 0.074188 0.090903 0.111596 0.139471
2025-12-28 0.039393 0.048640 0.060022 0.075224 0.095236 0.121022 0.157326
2026-01-04 0.036925 0.046639 0.058931 0.075847 0.098870 0.129624 0.174699
2026-01-11 0.034362 0.044256 0.057077 0.075190 0.100572 0.135581 0.188781
2026-01-18 0.032304 0.042350 0.055654 0.074906 0.102629 0.142029 0.203988
2026-01-25 0.030166 0.040165 0.053664 0.073618 0.103057 0.146039 0.215772
2026-02-01 0.028019 0.037820 0.051276 0.071545 0.102104 0.147820 0.224118
2026-02-08 0.026196 0.035811 0.049220 0.069780 0.101418 0.149853 0.232914
2026-02-15 0.024660 0.034117 0.047502 0.068374 0.101126 0.152390 0.242651
2026-02-22 0.023781 0.033348 0.047120 0.069011 0.104139 0.160555 0.262986
2026-03-01 0.022294 0.031610 0.045209 0.067170 0.103074 0.161989 0.271769
2026-03-08 0.020696 0.029628 0.042822 0.064427 0.100331 0.160373 0.274866
2026-03-15 0.019653 0.028429 0.041563 0.063398 0.100341 0.163428 0.286859
2026-03-22 0.019144 0.028016 0.041491 0.064275 0.103616 0.172419 0.311066
2026-03-29 0.018590 0.027502 0.041223 0.064799 0.106294 0.180534 0.334440
2026-04-05 0.017842 0.026645 0.040360 0.064256 0.107031 0.185112 0.351119
2026-04-12 0.017210 0.025941 0.039705 0.064022 0.108289 0.190740 0.370585
2026-04-19 0.016452 0.024998 0.038611 0.062954 0.107929 0.193205 0.383497
2026-04-26 0.015613 0.023891 0.037192 0.061232 0.106227 0.192887 0.390208
2026-05-03 0.014875 0.022917 0.035955 0.059766 0.104905 0.193212 0.398380